[New] Economists have described the economic impact of the 2026 Iran war as the worst since at least the 1970s, echoing the supply shortages, high oil prices, and projections of global inflation and risks of recession and stagflation if disruptions persisted.
Halter Ferguson
[New] Fears of a U.S. recession are rising as the Iran conflict pushes oil prices higher and shakes global markets.
Economic Times
[New] Fears of a U.S. recession in 2026 are rising as the war with Iran grows bigger across the Middle East.
Economic Times
[New] The 35% probability of a global recession in 2026 could dampen industrial demand, particularly in automotive and manufacturing sectors.
Ainvest
[New] With a war that stretches months and causes lasting damage to Persian Gulf energy infrastructure, there could be a global recession coupled with higher interest rates.
Canadian Energy News, Top Headlines, Commentaries, Feat
[New] The economic impact of the 2026 Iran war has been described as the worst since at least the 1970s, echoing the supply shortages, high oil prices, currency volatility and projections of global inflation, risks of recession and stagflation if disruptions persist.
Wikimedia Foundation, Inc.
[New] A further rise in oil prices to $140 per barrel could plunge the UK into a recession.
City AM
[New] 'Double whammy' | Borrowers face the double whammy of losing hundreds of dollars a month to higher mortgage repayments and rising pump prices as economists warn that Australia is heading for recession.
The Guardian
[New] Australia faces the risk of a recession if inflation cannot be tamed after the Reserve Bank raised official interest rates to counter already high prices and the potential impact of an oil shock caused by the war in the Middle East.
Australian Financial Review
[New] While the immediate threat of a recession has been pushed back by today's jobs data, the underlying pressures of inflation and leadership change ensure that the volatility seen in the first week of January is likely only the beginning of a transformative year for the U.S. financial markets.
The Pilot News
[New] Given the continuing birth slump, the gap between deaths and births in China could prove to be even wider, and the population drop even more steep.
American Enterprise Institute - AEI
[New] The U.S. economy shows mounting recession risks, with the Sahm Rule triggered and GDP growth sharply decelerating.
Seeking Alpha
[New] The Congressional Budget Office projects slower growth and flags fiscal and inflation risks that could raise recession odds if shocks occur, framing a cautious outlook for policy makers and households.
Michael Carbonara for U.S. Congress
[New] The current oil price shock will most likely not just lead to inflation, but also push the UK economy into recession, raising unemployment and reducing GDP.
The Guardian
[New] A protracted Middle East conflict could push Britain's economy into recession.
The Guardian
[New] A number of risks could increase the chances of a U.S. recession in 2026.
TEMPO.CO
[New] The crisis in the Middle East could plunge the UK into a recession in the worst case scenario where oil prices surge higher over the next two months.
City AM
[New] The sharp slump in Middle East production could lead to a global oil output slump of 8m barrels a day in 2026 - even with increased production from countries including Russia.
The Guardian
[New] Crude could reach $108 a barrel, adding a significant boost to inflation and even pushing some European economies to the brink of recession.
Los Angeles Times
[New] A longer war will not only produce significant U.S. casualties but also exacerbate the adverse economic consequences already evident, including a spike in energy prices, significantly increasing the chances of a global recession.
The Soufan Center
[New] If the real-time measure is closer to reality, the US economy may be approaching deflationary territory, an environment historically associated with recession risk.
investing.com
A serious conflict with Iran would be a major economic headwind, with the risk of a recession to climb sharply.
Business Insider
Last updated: 25 March 2026
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