Global Scans · Geopolitics · Weekly Summary

• [New] With competition between the US and China intensifying, the risks of great-power clashes, political and economic fragmentation, and proxy confrontations are on the rise. null
• [New] The NSR's grand promise, a faster, cheaper, and more secure maritime link between Asia and Europe, remains contingent on factors Rosatom cannot fully control: climate volatility, insurance risk, and global political stability. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] In the context of intensified Russian drone and missile attacks on Ukraine, notably against civilian and energy infrastructure, the European Council is expected to reiterate its unwavering political, financial, military and humanitarian support for Ukraine. Epthinktank
• [New] GeoQuant's models, which track political risk across 146 countries, predict elevated regime instability across 76% of emerging markets and indicate that US political volatility has measurably risen. State Street
• [New] American intelligence services are being systematically defanged by an utterly dysfunctional political elite, which is using them as political pawns while refusing to prioritise the Russian threat. Al Jazeera
• [New] The political stalemate has eroded the predictability of US policymaking, increased the risk of fiscal missteps, and weakened Congress's ability to address structural deficits. Stock Market Update
• [New] Most notably, the conflict in Ukraine and the rising threat posed by China in Taiwan and the South China Sea have compelled the U.S. to invest massive political capital and financial resources - a stark departure from any genuine disengagement strategy. FirstPost
• [New] Internal political divisions, particularly over different approaches between the Federal and the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa government will hamper Pakistan's anti-terror drive. Security Risks Asia
• [New] Significant political uncertainty surrounding upcoming elections in Mexico and the United States, coupled with the anticipated review of the USMCA, will continue to cast a shadow over investment and export prospects. FinancialContent
• [New] Whether Euro 2027 will actually take place in both countries will depend on the political relations between Serbia and Albania. Politiko
• [New] Papua New Guinea faces even steeper hurdles: a fragmented territory, weak rule of law, political instability, and high vulnerability to shocks. The Diplomat
• [New] Unless Tehran learns from its mistakes and reorders its politics, its trajectory will remain one of decline rather than renewal. Middle East Transparent
• The Coface social and political risk index has reached a historic high of 41.1%, surpassing the pandemic peak and establishing political risk as a key structural parameter of the global economy. Coface
• Global political instability and disruptions have underscored the need for secure, domestic uranium production and enrichment. XS
• Beijing is copying Washington's playbook because it saw firsthand how effectively U.S. export controls could constrain its own economic development and political choices. Economic Times
• Chinese leader Xi Jinping is convening a key political meeting this week where he will push forward his next five-year strategy to strengthen the world's second-largest economy in the face of mounting friction with the United States. KRDO

Last updated: 02 November 2025