Global Scans · Geopolitics · Weekly Summary

• [New] The PRC's political, economic, and defence institutions will be governed under AI overhang. World and New World Journal
• [New] Advocates and diplomats have raised concerns that the absence of the U.S. - which has at times played a key role in convincing China to restrain carbon emissions and securing finance for poor countries - could signal a broader global retreat from climate politics. The Mercury News
• [New] As Pakistan eyes its mineral wealth to attract new investment, questions persist about whether policy reforms and political stability can unlock its economic potential. DW.COM
• [New] Unless an agreement binds Lebanon to an enforceable peace, it will not survive a weak state, armed militias, and a country divided by sectarian politics. The Washington Institute
• [New] Iran may decide to build a loyal cadre of ideological militias over which Iran has strong control that will supplement pro-Iranian political parties in parliament while avoiding sanctions on Iraq. Critical Threats
• [New] Geopolitical Developments: Any escalation or de-escalation of global conflicts and political instabilities will directly influence safe-haven demand for both metals. The Chronicle-Journal
• [New] Internationally, political violence in Bangladesh has claimed nearly 300 lives since Sheikh Hasina's fall, and Iran plans to rebuild its nuclear facilities. Economic Times
• [New] Geopolitical Realignment: Currency power will increasingly mirror global political and trade realignments, with Asia playing a central role. TradingView
• [New] Sri Lanka's handing over of the Hambantota port to China on a 99-year lease after debt default highlights the social and political risks inherent in China's debt-led diplomacy under the BRI framework. Sakshi Post
• [New] Political confrontation, on the rise since 2021, will enter a new stage in 2025 as Honduras enters an electoral megacycle, electing a new president, a Congress, 298 mayors, and 20 members of the Central American Parliament. United States Institute of Peace
• [New] The ongoing political deadlock threatens Libya's stability and continues to deny Libyans the democratic choice, economic opportunity, and security they deserve. GOV.UK
• [New] A wildcard scenario could even see Russian interference in Armenian politics to install a leader more aligned with Moscow's interests. Hudson Institute
• [New] Geopolitical developments, ranging from ongoing trade disputes between major economic powers to regional conflicts and political uncertainties, consistently bolster gold's appeal as a store of value when global stability is perceived to be at risk. The Big Spring Herald
• [New] Given Israel's steady expansion of the settlement project, increasing settler violence, worsening economic conditions, and no political solution on the horizon, the risk of further escalation remains high. Acled
• [New] JP MORGANJPMorgan reduced its forecast for Turkey's interest rate cut on Monday and revised its inflation outlook higher, warning that domestic political developments posed upside risks for both benchmark rates and price pressures. TradingView
• [New] A pivotal political gathering in Beijing this week could deliver fresh policy measures to extend China's strongest equity rally in eight years and shore up the yuan, as investors weigh risks from escalating US trade tensions. Bloomberg
• With competition between the US and China intensifying, the risks of great-power clashes, political and economic fragmentation, and proxy confrontations are on the rise. null
• The NSR's grand promise, a faster, cheaper, and more secure maritime link between Asia and Europe, remains contingent on factors Rosatom cannot fully control: climate volatility, insurance risk, and global political stability. Modern Diplomacy
• In the context of intensified Russian drone and missile attacks on Ukraine, notably against civilian and energy infrastructure, the European Council is expected to reiterate its unwavering political, financial, military and humanitarian support for Ukraine. Epthinktank
• GeoQuant's models, which track political risk across 146 countries, predict elevated regime instability across 76% of emerging markets and indicate that US political volatility has measurably risen. State Street
• American intelligence services are being systematically defanged by an utterly dysfunctional political elite, which is using them as political pawns while refusing to prioritise the Russian threat. Al Jazeera
• The political stalemate has eroded the predictability of US policymaking, increased the risk of fiscal missteps, and weakened Congress's ability to address structural deficits. Stock Market Update
• Most notably, the conflict in Ukraine and the rising threat posed by China in Taiwan and the South China Sea have compelled the U.S. to invest massive political capital and financial resources - a stark departure from any genuine disengagement strategy. FirstPost

Last updated: 09 November 2025