Global Scans · Conflict · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Rising tensions around are bringing new and regional geopolitical threats and the possibility of eventual global war. Keep abreast of the unfolding drama and know where the risks and opportunities are in the world.

• [New] Sudani and Maliki have increasingly come into conflict within the Shia Coordination Framework throughout 2025, and Maliki could reject the second term for Sudani. Critical Threats
• [New] A conflict between Japan and China would not be a limited skirmish; it would likely draw in other powers, including the United States, and could quickly spiral into a large-scale conflict with unimaginable consequences. The Guardian
• [New] An attack or invasion by China would threaten to spiral into a regional or global conflict, potentially involving the US and other allies including Japan, which has territory just 110 km (68 miles) from Taiwan. The Guardian
• [New] Throughout late 2027, naval combat in the South China Sea intensified, which led to the entrance of Vietnam, Japan and Laos into the war against China. Future
• [New] The next world war, if it comes, will not just be fought across borders but across bandwidths and orbital constellations. Geostrategic Media
• [New] Hungary's prime minister has kicked off a weeks-long anti-war roadshow, turning criticism of European support for Ukraine into an early campaign message before 2026's elections. The Guardian
• [New] In a Ukraine-type war where the UK, and NATO, can expect hundreds of casualties every day, the capacity to cope is just not there. The Independent
• [New] If Washington breaks the decades-long moratorium, it almost guarantees that Moscow and Beijing will respond, either through their own tests or augmented weapons development. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] President Donald Trump's recent statement that the United States will restart nuclear weapons testing marks one of the most important policy shifts in global security since the end of the Cold War. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] Russia is preparing to unleash a 'big war' on Europe in 2029 or 2030. Metro
• [New] South Sudan shows all the signs of a clear and present danger of relapsing back to full-scale conflict. UN News
• [New] Pakistan finds itself caught in a deadly pincer movement of its own creation: threatened with external war by the proxy it uses and devoured from within by the proxy that uses it (TTP / Afghan Taliban). Atalayar
• [New] President Donald Trump has said he expects a U.S.-coordinated international stabilization force to be on the ground in Gaza very soon, following two years of war in the territory between Israel and Hamas. Counter Extremism Project
• [New] Myanmar's civil war will continue to have significant repercussions for South Asia in 2025. Caliber.az
• [New] International events such as conflict and natural disasters continue to pose significant threats to global health security. Disaster & Public Health Journal
• [New] Officials cited 'evolving security risks linked to the Israel-Gaza conflict, large-scale demonstrations, and an uptick in online extremist chatter' as key drivers. VisaHQ
• [New] China may possess 1,500 nuclear weapons by 2035, with strike capabilities from land, sea, and air (known as a full nuclear triad). CNN
• [New] NATO nations assisting Ukraine ... genuinely poses a risk of a conflict involving nuclear arms, which would lead to the annihilation of civilization. CNN
• [New] The 4th Annual Hypersonic Innovation Conference will support the United States' ability to develop & operationalize hypersonic weapons as well as defend against incoming missile threats. Orbital Today
• [New] Russia and China combined by 2035 will maintain numerically more nuclear weapons than they have today and more than the United States will field for the foreseeable future. The Heritage Foundation
• [New] The Israeli military could press ahead with further action if the Lebanese government did not do more to disarm Hezbollah, which was severely weakened in the war with Israel, most notably losing its longtime leader Hassan Nasrallah. Al Jazeera
• [New] Another example of water conflict is the dam that Ethiopia is building on the Nile River, which is causing great concern and reaction from Egypt and Sudan that see a risk for their water supply abilities for the future. The Food Futurist - Anticipate, Adapt, Succeed

Last updated: 18 November 2025