Global Scans · Conflict · Weekly Summary

WHAT'S NEXT?: Rising tensions around are bringing new and regional geopolitical threats and the possibility of eventual global war. Keep abreast of the unfolding drama and know where the risks and opportunities are in the world.

• [New] A growing divergence between China's English-language and Chinese-language propaganda about Taiwan might suggest that the CCP is taking the initial steps to prepare its people for the possibility of war. Futura Doctrina
• [New] Key international players' choices about whether to exacerbate or de-escalate tensions will determine whether we face another world war or find a path toward stability as the balance of power in the global arena swings between established and up-and-coming powers. The Financial Express
• [New] The militarization of islands and regular naval drills between Chinese and American forces increase the risk of a military conflict. The Financial Express
• [New] The war in Ukraine has showcased the integration of cyber operations with kinetic military campaigns, involving disruptive attacks on critical infrastructure, information warfare, and coordinated influence operations targeting civilian populations and international allies. Rapid7
• [New] The United States has threatened to cut intelligence sharing and weapons supplies for Ukraine to pressure it into agreeing to the 28-point plan. Just Security
• [New] PRC-Japan tensions: The PRC has escalated pressure against Japan in response to Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi saying that a war over Taiwan could threaten Japanese security. American Enterprise Institute - AEI
• [New] Sino-Russian cooperation will influence the end of the Russo-Ukraine war and the change in Russo-US and Sino-US relations. The Asan Forum
• [New] Ukraine had received a draft plan from the U.S. that could restart diplomatic efforts to end the conflict with Russia. The Kyiv Independent
• [New] Russia's war against Ukraine is an existential threat to Europe. wdio.com
• [New] Ukraine will be barred from NATO, from having long-range weapons, from hosting foreign troops, from allowing foreign diplomatic planes to land, and its military neutered, reduced in size by more than half. SKY
• [New] With conflict escalating between Israel, Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran, experts fear that one sudden misstep could draw the United States back into another costly confrontation. CFR Education from the Council on Foreign Relations
• [New] European leaders are adamant that any plan to end Russia's war in Ukraine will need support from both the European Union and Ukraine amid speculation of a potential United States-backed plan that would heavily favour Moscow's demands and narrative. Al Jazeera
• [New] Geopolitical tensions remain high, as evidenced by Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine, which has been weighing especially on the economic performance of neighbouring countries, while the October Gaza peace plan offers a glimmer of hope for regional stability in the Middle East. Economy and Finance
• [New] China is building a new command center in Beijing, which is expected to be 10 times larger than the Pentagon, thus raising assumptions that it is preparing for large-scale or even nuclear war (Jian, 2025). SAGE Journals
• [New] The war in Ukraine has now entered a new and dangerous phase marked by ground offensives but, even more so, by the ever-escalating drone war at the very core of any calculus with respect to power, civilian risk, and political blame. Medium
• [New] Opposition lawmakers have expressed frustration over the backlog of US deliveries to Taiwan, worth billions of dollars, caused by Covid-19 supply chain disruptions and US weapons shipments to Ukraine and Israel. Sino Daily
• [New] The United States will conduct nuclear weapons tests in the near future. Mehr News Agency
• [New] President Donald Trump's recent statement that the United States will restart nuclear-weapons testing marks one of the most important policy shifts in global security since the end of the Cold War. Modern Diplomacy
• [New] Sudani and Maliki have increasingly come into conflict within the Shia Coordination Framework throughout 2025, and Maliki could reject the second term for Sudani. Critical Threats
• [New] A conflict between Japan and China would not be a limited skirmish; it would likely draw in other powers, including the United States, and could quickly spiral into a large-scale conflict with unimaginable consequences. The Guardian
• [New] An attack or invasion by China would threaten to spiral into a regional or global conflict, potentially involving the US and other allies including Japan, which has territory just 110 km (68 miles) from Taiwan. The Guardian
• [New] Throughout late 2027, naval combat in the South China Sea intensified, which led to the entrance of Vietnam, Japan and Laos into the war against China. Future
• [New] The next world war, if it comes, will not just be fought across borders but across bandwidths and orbital constellations. Geostrategic Media

Last updated: 25 November 2025