Global Scans · War · Weekly Summary

• [New] Israel's Operation Rising Lion demonstrates the vulnerability of other expensive systems, such as air defence, to cheap, precise mass capabilities, no matter how deep into a country's territory they are. Foreign Affairs
• [New] The Trump administration plans to cancel a fleet of orbiting data relay satellites managed by the Space Development Agency and replace it with a secretive network that, so far, relies primarily on SpaceX's Starlink Internet constellation, Ars reports. Ars Technica
• [New] Latitude aims to launch its Zephyr rocket in 2026 from the Guiana Space Centre, in French Guiana, for the first time. Ars Technica
• [New] Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov claimed that Russia will raise 13,000 officers in 2025, amidst reports that Russia's war in Ukraine is degrading Russia's officer corps and professionalism among officers. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] Satellites are essential to U.S. national security, enabling the United States to communicate with its military forces, gather intelligence, warn of a potential nuclear attack, and more. Council on Foreign Relations
• [New] The UK Space Agency has launched a £75.6 million contract to tackle the growing problem of space debris, aiming to remove two broken British satellites from orbit by the end of 2028. Orbital Today
• [New] In reality, the European nations are now scrambling to decouple their economic and military reliance on the US, whilst having to cope with poor economic performance, massive defence spending and a very real fear of a new European war. Printing and Manufacturing Journal
• [New] NATO hosted a conference designed entirely to strong-arm the European nations into caving in to Trump's demand that they spend 5% of their GDP on defence though the US will limit its own military spending to 3.5% of GDP. Printing and Manufacturing Journal
• [New] Thales Alenia Space will operate the ground station and collect synchronized local measurements to enable cross-analysis of quantum link performance. Thales Alenia Space
• [New] Suspending US military aid to Ukraine very likely will not compel Russia to conduct meaningful negotiations with Ukraine as President Trump desires, but rather embolden Moscow to continue protracting Russia's war. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] Even if only a very small fraction of Iran's centrifuge enrichment capacity has survived, Iran will be able to produce the 90% enriched uranium desired for nuclear weapons in less than a month once electric power is restored to the enrichment centrifuges. no2nuclearpower
• [New] The ongoing development of U.S. and Chinese capabilities could lead to unstable competition in space, raising the risk of rapid, and perhaps unintended, military escalation. Rand Corporation
• [New] The degradation of Iran's uranium enrichment capabilities will temporarily prevent Iran from enriching to 90% weapons-grade uranium, though it could do so if it can install surviving centrifuges at a new facility or retains surviving centrifuges at another facility. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] The degradation of Iran's uranium enrichment capabilities will temporarily prevent Iran from enriching to 90% weapons-grade uranium, though Iran could enrich to weapons-grade if it can install surviving centrifuges at a new facility. Institute for the Study of War
• [New] As geopolitical tensions rise, particularly in maritime domains, enhancing coastal defence will be crucial for NATO members facing new challenges from nations such as China and Russia. SSBCrack News
• [New] Military experts were saying the Chinese Government was expected to test more nuclear weapons, which could severely jeopardise progress on agreement at the UN Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty negotiations in Geneva, and even encourage other nations to carry out more nuclear tests. A history of Greenpeace Aotearoa
• [New] As the war between Iran and Israel intensified, teasing the eventual involvement of the US military, American security agencies began to warn of a looming threat of Tehran-backed sleeper cells known to be active stateside that could be called in for retaliatory attacks. Counter Extremism Project
• [New] In the absence of negotiations, Israel and the United States could opt for a military solution again if Iran repairs its nuclear capabilities. ABC News
• [New] Success will place India among the few nations capable of independently sending humans to space, marking a significant milestone in its space capabilities. The Times Of India
• [New] The new defence spending targets require NATO members to allocate 5% of their GDP to defence by 2035, with a minimum of 3.5% dedicated to core military needs. archyde
• [New] NATO is increasing defence spending in response to a growing number of global conflicts and escalating threats from nations like russia, China, and Iran. archyde
• The Iran-Israel war will have major geopolitical reverberations that will be felt for years throughout the world, including South Asia, particularly India and Pakistan - both of which have nuclear weapons. The Diplomat

Last updated: 05 July 2025